THE biggest loser from last week’s cruise-missile strikes on a Syrian air base wasn’t President Bashar al-Assad. It was Vladimir Putin. The Syrian leader was punished, but Russia’s new tsar was humiliated.Even with an hour’s warning of the attacks, Putin’s military in Syria did nothing to defend its ally. For all of the Russian bluster in recent years, Putin couldn’t stop the strikes. His military lacked the means to do so. And any attempt to interfere with the operation would only have revealed the inferior quality of Russian armaments – including their much-ballyhooed air defence systems.This is vitally important, because Putin used his military leap into Syria to show that Russia was a reliable ally at a time when US policy was timid, incompetent and flighty under President Barack Obama. Russia looked strong. The US didn’t.
But the wave of cruise missiles unleashed on Syria early Friday called Putin’s bluff. And Russia didn’t dare to lift a finger.Much has been written and spoken about the attack’s potential effect on North Korean calculations. Whether or not the strikes affect Kim Jong Un’s behaviour, the strategic math has been altered.But what really changed was Iranian perceptions. The cruel old men in Tehran have been counting on their alliance with Russia to help ward off US or Israeli blows. Suddenly, Moscow doesn’t look so dependable.
No comments:
Post a Comment